Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.650933 6.365705 7.147608 8.068312 9.125170 10.303119 11.719277
2024-12-22 4.532094 5.454028 6.540474 7.922253 9.642740 11.727150 14.462960
2024-12-29 4.029883 5.100902 6.437529 8.243239 10.641867 13.750716 18.137326
2025-01-05 3.550875 4.677123 6.148076 8.233958 11.154536 15.156488 21.156112
2025-01-12 3.165877 4.311503 5.866212 8.163772 11.529827 16.371075 24.027503
2025-01-19 2.733515 3.824879 5.352942 7.689097 11.242812 16.565621 25.373796
2025-01-26 2.522593 3.623988 5.213875 7.727157 11.695652 17.886187 28.610837
2025-02-02 2.401155 3.537615 5.226916 7.985163 12.501934 19.835195 33.132291
2025-02-09 2.268944 3.419819 5.176608 8.131030 13.133794 21.562980 37.514460
2025-02-16 2.143212 3.298825 5.106723 8.231857 13.692433 23.221070 42.003223
2025-02-23 2.029072 3.184983 5.035473 8.318263 14.227803 24.891241 46.753408
2025-03-02 1.862976 2.972548 4.783449 8.066937 14.128839 25.384275 49.254048
2025-03-09 1.744172 2.832217 4.645142 8.010710 14.396753 26.630012 53.558184
2025-03-16 1.631262 2.693113 4.497441 7.923087 14.595952 27.769158 57.835711
2025-03-23 1.595839 2.684211 4.575017 8.257483 15.648814 30.754097 66.709715
2025-03-30 1.512081 2.583244 4.478990 8.251154 16.017175 32.363568 72.705911
2025-04-06 1.426977 2.473262 4.357136 8.181456 16.244506 33.695281 78.269734
2025-04-13 1.295415 2.269382 4.045639 7.705761 15.561562 32.924322 78.446250
2025-04-20 1.240603 2.203869 3.990220 7.743944 15.992207 34.735826 85.617013
2025-04-27 1.216291 2.193691 4.039596 8.002591 16.939002 37.881212 96.983291
2025-05-04 1.180189 2.158220 4.036357 8.148820 17.646591 40.550278 107.585678
2025-05-11 1.141407 2.114730 4.013539 8.249896 18.259743 43.071079 118.297945
2025-05-18 1.103581 2.070469 3.985600 8.336517 18.847741 45.611565 129.629327